Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2323
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Dec 10 2023 13:29:20

ACUS11 KWNS 101329
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101328=20
GAZ000-FLZ000-101430-

Mesoscale Discussion 2323
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0728 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2023

Areas affected...Portions of the FL Panhandle into southwestern GA

Concerning...Tornado Watch 719...

Valid 101328Z - 101430Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 719 continues.

SUMMARY...Some threat for a brief tornado or two and damaging winds
may persist for a couple more hours this morning.

DISCUSSION...A band of convection has recently consolidated across
parts of the FL Panhandle and southwestern GA. A narrow corridor of
modest destabilization exists downstream of this activity, where up
to 500 J/kg of MLCAPE is present per recent mesoanalysis and the 12Z
observed sounding from TLH. Recent VWPs from KTLH show somewhat
modest low-level winds gradually veering and strengthening with
height though mid/upper levels. Strong deep-layer shear around 40 kt
will continue to foster convective organization in the short term,
while 100-200 m2/s2 of effective SRH supports mesovorticies embedded
within the QLCS. A brief tornado or two along with damaging winds
will remain possible for a couple more hours this morning.
Accordingly, in coordination with WFO TAE, Tornado Watch 719 has
been expanded eastward to include more of the FL Panhandle and
southwestern GA, and extended in time until 16Z. The eastern extent
of severe risk will likely remain constrained by more limited
moisture and instability across north FL into south-central GA.

...Gleason.. 12/10/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9PcQ4ldlx00-X_pZ7xpqNkkDIPPKeT90kvsvUpTiooB9BCnQ4RsGoXZ_le4eXvQ7WyTWYc5j6=
NLYjCVnMMGLyqehWE4$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...

LAT...LON   30098532 30838490 31788481 31668354 30418381 30098418
            29728487 29708516 30098532=20


=3D =3D =3D
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