Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2318
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Dec 10 2023 05:40:47

ACUS11 KWNS 100540
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100540=20
NCZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-100645-

Mesoscale Discussion 2318
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1140 PM CST Sat Dec 09 2023

Areas affected...portions of northern Georgia into far southeastern
Tennessee

Concerning...Tornado Watch 717...

Valid 100540Z - 100645Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 717 continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Tornado Watch 717. A
couple of damaging gusts are the main threat, though a tornado
cannot be ruled out.

DISCUSSION...Linear convection is progressing across Tornado Watch
717, with a history of producing isolated bouts of sub-severe hail
and scattered damaging gusts. These storms persist in a
low-CAPE/high shear regime, which continues to support some
organization. What little buoyancy remains continues to diminish in
northern GA and points north and east, casting doubt on a more
organized severe threat. However, low-level shear remains quite
strong, so an additional damaging gust or even a tornado cannot be
ruled out over the next few hours. Given the diminishing downstream
buoyancy, convective trends will need to be closely monitored for
the need of a downstream WW issuance or local extension.

...Squitieri.. 12/10/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8aqUcFIUUo4vCtX90yKm3Bv7EVC7uf3YWkaKlDZ5RMtgFEs7xhrOFIZ_yLma5jHPBWj44Xugu=
My3XgzeYaH6UwnB7-w$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON   33948603 35308477 35568416 35378383 34798386 34348440
            33938487 33808519 33948603=20


=3D =3D =3D
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