Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Dec 05 2023 19:59:05

ACUS01 KWNS 051959
SWODY1
SPC AC 051957

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0157 PM CST Tue Dec 05 2023

Valid 052000Z - 061200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected through early Wednesday morning.

....20Z Update...
Latest water vapor imagery implies large-scale ascent in the left
exit region of a robust jet streak overspreading portions of
central/eastern Kentucky this afternoon, where a shallow cumulus
field is evident. While very weak instability could conditionally
support an isolated lightning flash with any sustained convective
cores in the eastern Kentucky vicinity this afternoon/early evening,
the potential still appears too low for a General Thunderstorm area.

...Weinman/Mosier.. 12/05/2023

..PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1020 AM CST Tue Dec 05 2023/

Relatively dry and stable conditions are expected to preclude
organized lightning activity across the CONUS today.

$$

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