Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Nov 29 2023 16:18:04

ACUS01 KWNS 291617
SWODY1
SPC AC 291616

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1016 AM CST Wed Nov 29 2023

Valid 291630Z - 301200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

....Southern Rockies to TX tonight...
As part of a split flow regime, a midlevel shortwave trough now
approaching southern CA will continue eastward to southern NM/far
west TX by early Thursday morning.  Isolated thunderstorms will also
be possible this evening into tonight across the higher terrain of
northern/eastern AZ into western NM as sufficient midlevel
cooling/moistening contributes to weak buoyancy within the left exit
region of the mid-upper jet.  Overnight, a modifying Gulf of Mexico
air mass will return northward to near the lower/middle TX coast at
the surface, and aloft into north/northeast TX.  There will be
sufficient destabilization aloft to support elevated thunderstorms
in a strengthening warm advection regime, mainly 08-12z.  Any severe
threat will likely be delayed until early in the day 2 forecast
period.

...Thompson/Moore.. 11/29/2023

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.