Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Nov 25 2023 19:47:41

ACUS01 KWNS 251947
SWODY1
SPC AC 251946

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0146 PM CST Sat Nov 25 2023

Valid 252000Z - 261200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible early Sunday morning across
the northwest Gulf coast.

....Discussion...
No changes warranted for this outlook. Please see prior discussion.

...Grams.. 11/25/2023

..PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1015 AM CST Sat Nov 25 2023/

....Synopsis...
A midlevel shortwave trough over CO/NM will progress eastward over
KS/OK to MO/AR by the end of the period.  There will be weak
low-level mass response to this passing wave and some associated
increase in warm advection over the northwest Gulf coast late in the
period. The northward return of a modifying Gulf of Mexico air mass
could result in sufficient magnitude and depth of buoyancy for
charge separation and a few lightning flashes with elevated
convection from roughly 08-12z.  Otherwise, midlevel lapse rates
will remain poor and forcing for ascent will be weak over southeast
FL, so thunderstorms appear unlikely.

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.