Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Nov 24 2023 19:42:06

ACUS01 KWNS 241942
SWODY1
SPC AC 241940

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0140 PM CST Fri Nov 24 2023

Valid 242000Z - 251200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms remain possible across the Four Corners and
southeast Florida this afternoon and evening.

....20Z Update...
No changes have been made to the prior outlook.

...Gleason.. 11/24/2023

..PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1023 AM CST Fri Nov 24 2023/

....Synopsis...
A midlevel low will move eastward over UT today, with a band of
ascent overspreading the Four Corners during the afternoon.  Surface
heating in cloud breaks will contribute to weak buoyancy
(surface-based CAPE of 100-200 J/kg) of sufficient depth for charge
separation and a few lightning flashes, mainly this
afternoon/evening across the Four Corners.  Otherwise, a front along
the southeast FL coast may drift inland a little this afternoon.
This boundary will provide a focus for convection that could become
deep enough for lightning production, which despite relatively warm
midlevel temperatures noted in regional 12z soundings.

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.