Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Nov 24 2023 16:25:36

ACUS01 KWNS 241625
SWODY1
SPC AC 241623

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1023 AM CST Fri Nov 24 2023

Valid 241630Z - 251200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms are possible across the Four Corners and
southeast Florida this afternoon and evening.

....Synopsis...
A midlevel low will move eastward over UT today, with a band of
ascent overspreading the Four Corners during the afternoon.  Surface
heating in cloud breaks will contribute to weak buoyancy
(surface-based CAPE of 100-200 J/kg) of sufficient depth for charge
separation and a few lightning flashes, mainly this
afternoon/evening across the Four Corners.  Otherwise, a front along
the southeast FL coast may drift inland a little this afternoon.
This boundary will provide a focus for convection that could become
deep enough for lightning production, which despite relatively warm
midlevel temperatures noted in regional 12z soundings.

...Thompson/Moore.. 11/24/2023

$$

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