Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Nov 22 2023 08:12:53

ACUS03 KWNS 220812
SWODY3
SPC AC 220811

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0211 AM CST Wed Nov 22 2023

Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm potential appears low on Friday.

....Synopsis...
An upper-level low initially centered over Utah is forecast to
gradually weaken and evolve into a positively tilted trough by late
Friday, as an embedded shortwave moves from the Four Corners region
toward the central High Plains. Weak convection may accompany wintry
precipitation associated with this system, but thunderstorm
potential will likely be limited by meager instability.

The front that will move into the Gulf and across the FL Peninsula
earlier this week is forecast to become nearly stationary, and then
lift slowly northward as a warm front on Friday. Weak surface waves
may develop along the front near the southeast FL coast, and also
across the Gulf of Mexico. However, despite increasing moisture
across parts of the FL Peninsula, poor midlevel lapse rates and
scant buoyancy are currently expected to limit thunderstorm
potential.

...Dean.. 11/22/2023

$$

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