Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Nov 16 2023 00:59:49

ACUS01 KWNS 160059
SWODY1
SPC AC 160058

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0658 PM CST Wed Nov 15 2023

Valid 160100Z - 161200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TOWARD THE UPPER
KEYS...

....SUMMARY...
A low threat of a brief/weak tornado exists for a small part of far
southern Florida.

....Extreme southern FL toward the Upper Keys...
Clusters of thunderstorms may linger this evening over the far
southern FL Peninsula and Upper Keys, where dewpoints will remain in
the lower 70s F. Low-level shear will also remain favorable for
rotation, with the greatest relative risk immediately along and
coast and over the water where low-level lapse rates will remain
more favorable. Available 00Z soundings show limited instability,
especially for surface-based parcels. As such, any weak/brief
tornado risk appears low over land.

...Jewell.. 11/16/2023

$$

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