Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Nov 15 2023 04:54:10

ACUS01 KWNS 150454
SWODY1
SPC AC 150452

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1052 PM CST Tue Nov 14 2023

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the Lower 48 states on
Wednesday.

....Synopsis...

An upper low/trough over the eastern Pacific offshore from the CA
coast will persist through the period. However, moderate to strong
deep-layer southwesterly flow will result in moistening midlevels
amid modestly cooling temperatures aloft. This will support weak
elevated instability, and a few lightning flashes will be possible
from southern CA toward the lower CO River Valley. Further east, an
upper trough will drift east over Gulf of Mexico, while a surface
low persists offshore from the central Gulf Coast. Deeper
boundary-layer moisture and better instability will remain offshore,
but a few lightning flashes may occur along the central Gulf Coast
and into parts of the southern/central FL peninsula. Severe storms
are not expected.

...Leitman/Moore.. 11/15/2023

$$

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