Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Nov 12 2023 08:16:52

ACUS03 KWNS 120816
SWODY3
SPC AC 120816

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0216 AM CST Sun Nov 12 2023

Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm development will be possible on Tuesday from near the
upper Texas Coast eastward into southern Louisiana, but no severe
weather is expected.

....DISCUSSION...
A mid-level trough will move through Texas on Tuesday, as flow
remains mostly from the southwest across the western Gulf Coast
region. At the surface, a low will likely develop across the western
Gulf of Mexico located a couple hundred miles to the east of
Brownsville, Texas. A moist airmass will remain mostly offshore in
the Gulf of Mexico, except across far southern Louisiana where
surface dewpoints could reach the mid 60s F. Increasing low-level
flow and convergence will result in scattered thunderstorm
development during the day in the western Gulf of Mexico. By Tuesday
night, thunderstorms could affect parts of southern Louisiana as the
system approaches. Instability over land will likely remain
insufficient for a severe threat Tuesday and Tuesday night.

...Broyles.. 11/12/2023

$$

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