Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Nov 12 2023 00:45:21

ACUS01 KWNS 120045
SWODY1
SPC AC 120043

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0643 PM CST Sat Nov 11 2023

Valid 120100Z - 121200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Aside from a few flashes of lightning for the next several hours,
the threat of lightning is negligible across the CONUS tonight.

....01z Update...

Weak midlevel height rises will be noted across the northwestern US
tonight in the wake of a short wave trough advancing toward the
northern Rockies. While 00z sounding from UIL exhibited a few
hundred J/kg SBCAPE, very little lightning has been noted with
showers across this region. In the absence of meaningful large-scale
ascent, thunderstorms are not expected across this region the rest
of the period.

A few flashes of lightning have recently been observed with weak
convection over the central FL Peninsula. While 00z soundings from
this region are not particularly impressive, most-recent guidance
continues to suggest the threat for isolated thunderstorms through
mid evening. Otherwise, thunderstorm potential will wane after
03-04z.

...Darrow.. 11/12/2023

$$

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