Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Nov 11 2023 09:48:15

ACUS48 KWNS 110948
SWOD48
SPC AC 110946

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0346 AM CST Sat Nov 11 2023

Valid 141200Z - 191200Z

....DISCUSSION...
....Tuesday/Day 4 and Wednesday/Day 5...
An upper-level trough is forecast to move across the Gulf of Mexico
on Tuesday and Wednesday. A complex of thunderstorms, associated
with the trough, will likely move across the northern Gulf of Mexico
on Tuesday. Most of the thunderstorms are expected to remain
offshore. However, a marginal severe threat will be possible near
the coast in parts of far southern Mississippi, far southern
Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle. Scattered thunderstorms will be
possible across Florida on Wednesday as the upper-level trough
approaches. A marginal severe threat will again be possible ahead of
the trough, with the greatest potential over southern Florida, where
surface dewpoints will likely be near 70 F.

....Thursday/Day 6 to Saturday/Day 8...
On Thursday, an upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward
across the north-central states, as a shortwave ridge moves through
the south-central U.S. On Friday and Saturday, the upper-level
trough is forecast to amplify and move across the eastern U.S., as
another upper-level system develops in the West. During this time
period, instability is forecast to be limited across the continental
United States, which should minimize any severe weather potential.

...Broyles.. 11/11/2023

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