Subj : HVYRAIN: Excessive Rainfall Discussion
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Nov 02 2023 07:55:49

FOUS30 KWBC 020755
QPFERD

Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
355 AM EDT Thu Nov 02 2023

Day 1
Valid 12Z Thu Nov 02 2023 - 12Z Fri Nov 03 2023

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR NORTHWEST
WASHINGTON AND THE CASCADES OF WASHINGTON AND OREGON...

General 1-2" with local up to 3" is forecast for the front half of
the forecast period with a degrading AR signature after 18Z as the
cold front moves inland and shuts off the moisture pipeline. The
Cascades and Olympic Peninsula are very much favored for the
continued heavy rain potential, although intensity wise will fall
below the 1"/hr mark. The Marginal Risk area was maintained for
the compounding concerns of total rainfall with some localized
flash flooding risks across the terrain influenced areas, albeit
with adjustments to reflect the latest trends in QPF and WPC
forecast..

Campbell/Kleebauer




Day 2

The Day 2 outlook will be updated by 0830Z.


Day 3

The Day 3 outlook will be updated by 0830Z.


Day 1 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/94epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!8-5sTpbD8FB1KKkjoXyY32M92Ug2SWQquGNw9YtvjIN4=
HvEGpgzWGbAo_6qSMklMhSxG8z9PtIYsi-sT4hWH3D2HjWo$=20
Day 2 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/98epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!8-5sTpbD8FB1KKkjoXyY32M92Ug2SWQquGNw9YtvjIN4=
HvEGpgzWGbAo_6qSMklMhSxG8z9PtIYsi-sT4hWHYzyMumU$=20
Day 3 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/99epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!8-5sTpbD8FB1KKkjoXyY32M92Ug2SWQquGNw9YtvjIN4=
HvEGpgzWGbAo_6qSMklMhSxG8z9PtIYsi-sT4hWHcQYqObU$=20


$$



=3D =3D =3D
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