Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Oct 30 2023 19:37:42

ACUS01 KWNS 301937
SWODY1
SPC AC 301936

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0236 PM CDT Mon Oct 30 2023

Valid 302000Z - 311200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Areas of thunderstorms are not expected today.

....20Z Update...
No changes.

...Dean.. 10/30/2023

..PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1118 AM CDT Mon Oct 30 2023/

A broad upper trough is present today over the Great Lakes region,
while a secondary shortwave trough rotates into the area tonight.
Warm lake temperatures and cold air aloft pose a risk of convective
showers in the lee of Lake Superior and Michigan.  However, forecast
soundings show a shallow unstable layer and only weak forcing.
Therefore expect any lightning activity to remain below a 10%
coverage threshold.

$$

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