Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Mon Oct 30 2023 00:30:11 ACUS01 KWNS 300030 SWODY1 SPC AC 300028 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0728 PM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ....SUMMARY... Minimal thunderstorm activity is expected through tonight. ....Synopsis... A large, positive-tile upper trough will continue to push eastward across the upper MS Valley and Great Lakes, trailing southwestward into the central Plains. At the surface, a sprawling area of high pressure will support cool air moving southward across the remainder of southern TX this evening and across the lower MS, OH and TN Valley through Monday morning. Weak elevated instability continues to support embedded thunder within patches of precipitation, mainly over northwest into west-central TX in closer proximity to better moisture and with a few hundred J/kg MUCAPE. With time, the deepening cool air should shunt thunderstorm potential farther south, from central TX toward the middle Rio Grande Valley. Lack of appreciable instability and weak lapse rates aloft will preclude any severe hail risk. ...Jewell.. 10/30/2023 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .