Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Oct 26 2023 16:29:52

ACUS01 KWNS 261629
SWODY1
SPC AC 261628

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1128 AM CDT Thu Oct 26 2023

Valid 261630Z - 271200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL/EAST-CENTRAL TEXAS...

....SUMMARY...
An isolated severe storm or two may occur across
south-central/east-central Texas through the afternoon.

....South-Central/East-Central Texas...
Largely focused along prior outflow, scattered thunderstorms
continue at midday in a northeast/southwest-oriented corridor from
northeast Texas to near/east of the I-35 corridor in south-central
Texas including Hill Country and South Texas Brush Country. More
continuous and linearly organized convection prevails across
northeast Texas, while more discrete low-topped thunderstorms have
prevailed across south-central Texas/Hill Country, likely
attributable to weaker forcing for ascent with southward extent.

A few of the aforementioned semi-discrete storms have been
low-topped supercells this morning, owing to a very moist
environment (mid 70s F surface dewpoints) and moderately strong
low-level wind profiles as per KEWX WSR-88D VWP. However, a
weakening trend of these low-level winds has been noted through late
morning, and this trend should continue through the afternoon
particularly across south-central Texas. Even so, the potential for
localized severe weather may continue through the afternoon, mainly
across south-central/east-central Texas, with a brief tornado and/or
wind damage possible.

...Guyer/Weinman.. 10/26/2023

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.