Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Oct 19 2023 11:43:31

ACUS01 KWNS 191143
SWODY1
SPC AC 191141

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0641 AM CDT Thu Oct 19 2023

Valid 191300Z - 201200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

....Lower OH/TN Valleys...
Forcing for ascent within the left-exit region of a mid/upper-level
jet streak attendant to an amplifying large-scale trough should aid
in isolated to scattered low-topped convection, mainly during the
late afternoon and evening. MLCAPE will be limited by only a modest
combination of low-level moisture emanating from the western Gulf
and steepening of mid-level lapse rates. Nevertheless, the deepest
updrafts should yield embedded isolated thunderstorms with potential
for localized gusts of 35-50 mph and small hail below 0.75 inch.

...Grams/Jewell.. 10/19/2023

$$

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