Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Oct 16 2023 05:28:01

ACUS01 KWNS 160527
SWODY1
SPC AC 160526

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1226 AM CDT Mon Oct 16 2023

Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.

....Discussion...
Cyclonic flow aloft will encompass the eastern half of the U.S.
today, with a cool/dry continental airmass in place east of the
Rockies in the wake of a prior cold-frontal passage.

In the West, ridging will shunted gradually eastward, as a trough
shifts inland from the eastern Pacific.  As colder mid-level air
associated with the trough overspreads the Pacific Northwest,
showers and occasional/embedded lightning flashes are expected in
the post-frontal airmass.

Elsewhere, a couple of showers and perhaps a thunderstorm may
develop during the afternoon across the higher terrain of
southeastern Arizona, but coverage is not expected to be sufficient
to warrant 10% areal inclusion.

...Goss/Thornton.. 10/16/2023

$$

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