Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Oct 15 2023 16:48:57

ACUS02 KWNS 151648
SWODY2
SPC AC 151647

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1147 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2023

Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Monday.

....Pacific Northwest...
A negatively tilted mid/upper-level shortwave trough is forecast to
move inland across the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia on
Monday. A surface low is forecast to move northward near the BC
coast, with secondary cyclogenesis expected Monday evening in the
lee of the Canadian Rockies. A cold front will begin to move inland
across the Pacific Northwest Monday morning, and move into parts of
the interior Northwest and northern Rockies Monday evening into
Tuesday morning.

A frontal precipitation band will move through western WA/OR Monday
morning, which may contain some weak embedded convective elements.
Somewhat more robust convection will be possible Monday
afternoon/evening within the post-frontal regime, in closer
proximity to the approaching shortwave trough. Steepening
low/midlevel lapse rates will support at least isolated thunderstorm
potential across western WA and northwest OR. Rather strong
low/midlevel flow and cool temperatures aloft may support gusty
winds and small hail with the strongest storms, but very weak
buoyancy and a tendency for convection to be rather
shallow/low-topped is expected to limit severe potential.

...Dean.. 10/15/2023

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.