Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Oct 15 2023 16:03:25

ACUS01 KWNS 151603
SWODY1
SPC AC 151601

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1101 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2023

Valid 151630Z - 161200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected.

....Synopsis...
An initial wind shift and association convection has shifted south
of the FL Keys and into the FL Straits.  Farther northwest, the
synoptic cold front (denoted by a narrow cloud line) will continue
to move southeastward across south FL and the Keys this afternoon
into this evening.  Lingering low-level moisture and shallow ascent
along the front could support isolated thunderstorm development
later this afternoon/evening, but storm coverage will be rather
sparse.  Otherwise, a midlevel shortwave trough will approach the
Pacific Northwest early Monday, but any threat for isolated
lightning flashes will occur after 12z.

...Thompson/Lyons.. 10/15/2023

$$

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