Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Oct 15 2023 05:37:55

ACUS01 KWNS 150537
SWODY1
SPC AC 150535

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1235 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2023

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday.

....Discussion...
Amplification of the upper flow field is forecast Sunday, with
cyclonic flow around an eastern U.S. trough expanding to include the
entire eastern half of the U.S. and Gulf of Mexico.  As this occurs,
the trailing portion of a surface cold front crossing the western
Atlantic will advance steadily southward across the Gulf of Mexico
and southern Florida.

A few showers -- and possibly a thunderstorm or two -- may evolve
along the front during the afternoon, across southern portions of
the Florida Peninsula and the Keys.  By the end of the period
however, the front is progged to have shifted south of the region.

Elsewhere, ridging aloft will prevail over the West, though a second
trough will shift gradually eastward across the eastern Pacific,
approaching the West Coast overnight.  However, onshore
thunderstorms are not expected.

...Goss/Thornton.. 10/15/2023

$$

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