Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Oct 11 2023 00:55:55

ACUS01 KWNS 110055
SWODY1
SPC AC 110054

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0754 PM CDT Tue Oct 10 2023

Valid 110100Z - 111200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. Scattered
storms are expected to develop later tonight over parts of the
middle and lower Missouri Valley.

Non-severe, diurnally driven storms over western TX are expected to
wane this evening as the boundary layer cools. To the northeast, a
band of elevated convection is forecast after 06Z from southeast NE
into MO, in association with increasing theta-e advection with
southwest 850 mb flow to 40 kt. Forecast soundings show cool
midlevel temperatures, but overall marginal instability to support
any hail over 1.00" diameter. While initial development could
exhibit robust updrafts, effective shear does not appear to support
anything long-lived enough to produce severe weather.

...Jewell.. 10/11/2023

$$

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