Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Oct 06 2023 07:27:58

ACUS03 KWNS 060727
SWODY3
SPC AC 060726

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 AM CDT Fri Oct 06 2023

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday.

....Synopsis and Discussion...
A large, closed upper cyclone should encompass much of the eastern
CONUS and Canada on Sunday. Meanwhile, upper ridging should persist
over the Rockies and Southwest. At the surface, appreciable
low-level moisture will remain confined along/south of a cold front
forecast to be located over the Gulf of Mexico and south FL.
Thunderstorm potential appears limited for a large majority of the
CONUS Sunday, with a few exceptions.

Beneath the cold-core upper low, low-topped convection may be
capable of producing occasional lightning flashes as it moves across
Lake Erie/Ontario into adjacent portions of western NY and vicinity.
Isolated thunderstorms appear possible across parts of south FL
mainly Sunday afternoon/early evening along and south of the cold
front. But, with negligible large-scale ascent forecast, any
convection which can develop will probably be tied to either modest
low-level convergence along the front or mesoscale sea breeze
boundaries. Finally, convection may also develop across parts of AZ
Sunday afternoon, mainly along/near the Mogollon Rim.

...Gleason.. 10/06/2023

$$

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