Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Oct 06 2023 05:46:30

ACUS02 KWNS 060546
SWODY2
SPC AC 060544

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1244 AM CDT Fri Oct 06 2023

Valid 071200Z - 081200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday.

....Synopsis and Discussion...
A highly amplified upper trough over parts of the eastern CONUS will
evolve into a closed upper low over the Great Lakes and Northeast on
Saturday. A surface cold front will move eastward across much of the
Atlantic Coast states through the period. The National Hurricane
Center continues to forecast that Tropical Storm Philippe will
undergo extratropical transition on Saturday as it approaches the
northern New England Coast. Low thunderstorm chances may exist
through the day ahead of the cold front from coastal NC into parts
of the Northeast and New England. But, poor lapse rates and related
weak instability are expected to temper thunderstorm intensity
across these areas.

Elsewhere, lake-effect convection may reach sufficient height
beneath the evolving upper low to generate isolated lighting flashes
along/near the shores of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. Isolated
thunderstorms may also occur across parts of south FL, AZ, and
southern CO, but organized severe convection is not expected.

...Gleason.. 10/06/2023

$$

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