Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Oct 04 2023 08:14:14

ACUS48 KWNS 040814
SWOD48
SPC AC 040812

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0312 AM CDT Wed Oct 04 2023

Valid 071200Z - 121200Z

....DISCUSSION...
Severe-thunderstorm potential appears limited through most of the
extended range. A deep longwave trough is forecast to evolve into a
large mid/upper-level cyclone this weekend, centered near the upper
Great Lakes region into Ontario. Generally dry and stable conditions
are expected into early next week east of the Rockies, where an
expansive surface ridge will persist in the wake of a cold front.

Spread amongst extended-range guidance begins to increase by the
middle of next week. In general, some increase in low-level moisture
is possible into portions of the southern Plains by
Tuesday/Wednesday, as an upper-level trough becomes reestablished
over parts of the western CONUS and induces lee troughing across the
High Plains. Predictability is low regarding whether any stronger
shortwaves will emerge across the Plains through midweek as moisture
begins to increase, though guidance generally suggests rather
limited severe-thunderstorm potential through Wednesday.

...Dean.. 10/04/2023

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.