Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Oct 03 2023 07:29:36

ACUS03 KWNS 030729
SWODY3
SPC AC 030728

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0228 AM CDT Tue Oct 03 2023

Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
The severe-thunderstorm threat appears low on Thursday.

....Texas...
Extensive convection that is expected to develop and expand in
coverage Wednesday evening will likely be ongoing across parts of
central Texas Thursday morning. This convection will tend to spread
southward through the day, in conjunction with an outflow-reinforced
cold front. Deep-layer flow/shear and large-scale ascent will be
weakening through the day as a mid/upper-level trough moves eastward
away from the region. This will tend to limit storm
organization/intensity and the overall severe threat. Some risk for
strong/damaging gusts could evolve across areas where stronger
pre-convective diurnal heating/destabilization occurs, but
uncertainty regarding this potential and the timing/location of the
front precludes the addition of severe probabilities at this time.

...Dean.. 10/03/2023

$$

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