Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Sep 27 2023 00:26:55

ACUS01 KWNS 270026
SWODY1
SPC AC 270025

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0725 PM CDT Tue Sep 26 2023

Valid 270100Z - 271200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
MIDWEST AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible through the remainder of
the evening, and possibly into the overnight hours, across parts of
the Midwest, southeast New Mexico, and far west Texas.

....Synopsis...
The severe threat continues across the Midwest with a few strong to
severe thunderstorms ongoing as of 00 UTC. Hail reports over the
past few hours have been sub-severe, but approaching 1 inch in
diameter. With no appreciable change to the environment or storm
modes expected heading into the overnight hours, severe hail, and
perhaps damaging gusts, will remain possible. The severe threat will
likely shift from central/northern IL into central to eastern MO and
southern IL through the next several hours as thunderstorms develop
along a cold front in an environment favorable for a mix of discrete
cells and clusters. Elsewhere, the severe threat continues for NM
and far west TX, but is expected to wane through midnight with the
onset of nocturnal cooling. Across northern FL, the primary band of
convection has moved offshore, leaving a fairly stable environment
in its wake with low potential for additional severe storms.

...Moore/Leitman.. 09/27/2023

$$

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