Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2194
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Sep 25 2023 02:54:21

ACUS11 KWNS 250254
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250253=20
TXZ000-250430-

Mesoscale Discussion 2194
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0953 PM CDT Sun Sep 24 2023

Areas affected...central and northeastern Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 695...

Valid 250253Z - 250430Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 695
continues.

SUMMARY...Storms will continue over the next several hours, along
with local risk for damaging winds and large hail.  With
severe-weather potential likely to persist locally beyond the
scheduled 25/04Z expiration of WW 695, local WW extensions and/or a
new WW may be required.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows scattered strong/isolated
severe storms ongoing from portions of the Texas Hill Country into
northeastern Texas, where 2000 to 3000 J/kg mixed-layer cape
persists, per RAP-based objective analysis.  Given the available
CAPE, and glancing influence of a weak mid-level disturbance
crossing Oklahoma and the Ozarks per recent water vapor loop, storms
will likely continue for several hours, with at least isolated
severe-weather risk.  Depending upon convective evolution over the
next hour or so, continuation of a watch beyond 25/04Z may be
required.

...Goss.. 09/25/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9O3vvIdx2MSU6Qeh_syr0-xE0NtpQFyd6BsLOAUE16wQwv43d7pok3_6WJUSzJndQtzW4lM_9=
HHKvNrqokAkf-oIURI$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON   30799982 30819852 31829717 32879711 33309640 33099532
            32819476 32309474 31359532 30549665 29859802 29839910
            30799982=20


=3D =3D =3D
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