Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2156
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Sep 16 2023 12:49:08

ACUS11 KWNS 161249
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161248=20
TXZ000-161415-

Mesoscale Discussion 2156
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0748 AM CDT Sat Sep 16 2023

Areas affected...Concho Valley of Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 685...

Valid 161248Z - 161415Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 685
continues.

SUMMARY...The risk for strong/damaging gusts and perhaps hail will
continue across the watch area this morning.

DISCUSSION...Regional radar composite at 1245z shows a complex of
thunderstorms moving southeast across the Concho Valley region, with
a recent history and radar indications of near-severe gusts.  This
complex is likely to continue moving southeast for the next couple
of hours, aided by modest low-level warm advection and an
established cold pool, with a continued risk for strong to localized
severe gusts.  Some weakening may occur towards 16z associated with
weakening low-level warm advection.

...Bunting.. 09/16/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7W0gJgA5roMFjvnWsStCmES_NgQtMf4RH-UgenjgAw2EwHrHPoett2MEFVmkQI0GHvLiIiDd4=
gKi5I9VlXK2B7qtyOk$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON   31660027 32149995 31899913 31789884 31219865 30599880
            30349935 30340008 30590067 31140083 31660027=20


=3D =3D =3D
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