Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Sep 09 2023 07:20:51

ACUS03 KWNS 090720
SWODY3
SPC AC 090719

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0219 AM CDT Sat Sep 09 2023

Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not currently forecast across the
contiguous United States on Monday.

....Synopsis...
A positively tilted mid-level trough initially over the Upper
Midwest will slowly shift southeastward into the western Great Lakes
and mid MS Valley.  While this occurs, a cold front draped from the
Great Lakes into the lower MO Valley/southern Great Plains will push
southward reach the Permian Basin Monday night.  Widely scattered
showers/thunderstorms are forecast over the southwest Great Lakes.
A separate area of scattered showers/thunderstorms will likely focus
near the front over OK into portions of northwest TX and eastern NM.
Low-level moisture will probably be limited (mid to upper 50s deg F
dewpoints) across the southern High Plains given the lack of
cyclogenesis downstream of a weak mid-level ridge over the Four
Corners.  A few strong storms could perhaps develop over portions of
the southern High Plains but confidence is low regarding this
scenario.

...Smith.. 09/09/2023

$$

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