Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2101
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Sep 07 2023 22:35:44

ACUS11 KWNS 072235
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072235=20
VAZ000-MDZ000-080000-

Mesoscale Discussion 2101
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0535 PM CDT Thu Sep 07 2023

Areas affected...portions of eastern Virginia into extreme southern
Maryland

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 072235Z - 080000Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A localized severe threat may expand south of Severe
Thunderstorm Watch 673. Damaging gusts are the main threat.

DISCUSSION...Pulse cellular thunderstorms are gradually increasing
in intensity across portions of eastern VA, where surface
temperatures remain over 90 F, with low 70s F dewpoints contributing
to 2000-3000 J/kg MLCAPE. While vertical shear and upper support are
weak, the aforementioned buoyancy may compensate to support wet
downbursts and associated damaging gusts over the next couple of
hours.

...Squitieri/Thompson.. 09/07/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_Qp_TmJDFHT3w_X9nN86p1NNLEgoTyeKXTWdGq3WlgLnjoJ0oZ22HIIpOISYd3iQ4NMrMb63A=
LS5ZSqfatecuZL6_vg$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK...

LAT...LON   36667903 37737805 38207750 38357706 38347667 38127644
            37667654 37127692 36737731 36587802 36667903=20


=3D =3D =3D
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