Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2100
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Sep 07 2023 22:14:10

ACUS11 KWNS 072214
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072213=20
NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-072345-

Mesoscale Discussion 2100
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0513 PM CDT Thu Sep 07 2023

Areas affected...Far eastern Pennsylvania...central and eastern New
York...western New Jersey

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 673...

Valid 072213Z - 072345Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 673
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 673. Damaging gusts remain the main concern, particularly with
bowing segments embedded within the broader line of storms.

DISCUSSION...A mature line of thunderstorms continues to move across
the Hudson Valley, with a bowing segment (potentially augmented by a
subtle MCV located to the west) currently tracking over central NY.
Surface temperatures in the 85-90 F range continues to support
MLCAPE up to 2500 J/kg, which should support additional damaging
gusts into the evening. Damaging gusts may be most common with the
bowing line segment in central NY. Isolated instances of hail may
continue with the more discrete convection in far eastern NY.

...Squitieri.. 09/07/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9NNvg_c4LYFfx-WcammdL4VEE1GnfMSl5t293bIT9F2oUUAj6t-z9U15pRsXuYyJVaSHHOqOs=
8PSjCq-5jmi-uqD6aE$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...LWX...

LAT...LON   42867687 43727586 43997500 43937422 43577372 42637376
            41707418 40867447 40167512 39457596 39257660 39327684
            39897660 40847607 41307571 41907553 42367610 42867687=20


=3D =3D =3D
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