Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2099
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Sep 07 2023 21:51:11

ACUS11 KWNS 072151
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072150=20
MEZ000-NHZ000-072315-

Mesoscale Discussion 2099
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0450 PM CDT Thu Sep 07 2023

Areas affected...portions of western Maine

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 072150Z - 072315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Damaging gusts may accompany a small multicell cluster
across western ME over the next couple of hours. Areal coverage is
expected to be a limited with this storm cluster and a WW issuance
is not anticipated.

DISCUSSION...A small MCS is traversing the NH/Canada border, and is
propagating eastward toward far western ME, where 2000+ J/kg MLCAPE
resides. MRMS mosaic radar shows some slight bowing with the
leading-line reflectivity, indicative of an appreciable cold pool
contributing to forward propagation. Continued downbursts will both
sustain the cold pool and promote damaging gust potential for at
least the next couple of hours. Since the severe wind threat should
remain isolated and spatially confined to the counties closest to
the border, a WW issuance is not expected.

...Squitieri/Thompson.. 09/07/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9cqDcJVMlvGw_dCe6OSXZ9WpvEuFXx4AGPhiYKSpTaRsUk2BZzsMf6iQOJ-YZSDseJCQ-sTYb=
q-hPSHIMr9OMP1ROlU$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...

LAT...LON   45167139 45337115 45477085 45847033 46007004 45886982
            45486976 45056991 44747027 44697063 44687095 44727144
            45167139=20


=3D =3D =3D
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