Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2088
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Sep 06 2023 00:12:29

ACUS11 KWNS 060012
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060011=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-060215-

Mesoscale Discussion 2088
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0711 PM CDT Tue Sep 05 2023

Areas affected...extreme southeast KS...southwest into central MO

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 671...

Valid 060011Z - 060215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 671
continues.

SUMMARY...Widely scattered severe thunderstorms will be capable of
large hail/gusts.  Forecast peak hazard intensities through 9pm:=20
max hail size 1.50 to 1.75 inches in diameter, 70-80 mph gusts.

DISCUSSION...Widely scattered thunderstorms have recently developed
along a cold front extending from western MO south-southwestward
into extreme southeast KS.  Very warm temperatures into the low to
mid 90s are immediately ahead of the storm activity.=20=20

Short-term model guidance indicates storms will gradually increase
in coverage over the Ozarks this evening in the form of a couple of
thunderstorm bands as additional cold pool consolidation occurs.=20
The stronger storms will likely continue to pose a risk for large
hail this evening along with severe gusts.  The severe risk will
probably transition to mainly a damaging-wind risk by late evening
coincident with lessening buoyancy and upscale growth into linear
modes less favorable for hail growth.

...Smith.. 09/06/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5gxxSW4wr1ueBZX-abKiTU8OR8lGOhNuWR-cPLOInChQg4Q_ryQvt1tSiuWFUGmPE3tYDM4OU=
qOlsiSLLr1Ksl-Kdmc$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...ICT...

LAT...LON   37049547 37679473 38839393 39349326 39419278 39249232
            38969214 37039403 37049547=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.