Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2050
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Aug 26 2023 00:44:36

ACUS11 KWNS 260044
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260044=20
NEZ000-KSZ000-260245-

Mesoscale Discussion 2050
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0744 PM CDT Fri Aug 25 2023

Areas affected...South Central Nebraska and North Central Kansas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 260044Z - 260245Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Strong cluster of storms with occasionally severe wind and
hail to continue east. A watch is not likely to be issued at this
time.

DISCUSSION...A broken line of storms continues to track eastward
across south-central Nebraska and north-central Kansas. Occasional
severe reports of observed gusts 50-70 mph and hail up to 1 inch
have been noted with this cluster. These storms will continue to
track within a favorably unstable air mass, with MLCAPE around
1000-2000 J/kg within surface objective analysis. Weak deep layer
shear will likely inhibit an organized severe threat. Occasional
severe wind and hail reports, will be possible but a watch is
unlikely to be issued at this time, though trends will continue to
be monitored.

...Thornton/Hart.. 08/26/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-IPlLwH902WJ6eAKiR_fjSNHOnLdZ0efFVVnRfCmGPOLv4f-SiL3BQNremdTXQ2892ER3xcG-=
KK7ahi79yEoLgK6WDM$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   40130017 40670033 41190027 41400001 41329863 41119742
            40949691 40699640 40409614 40059590 39719581 39259578
            38899604 38639631 38469645 38259669 38169703 38139729
            38179790 38239829 38309879 38379919 38419944 38439975
            38569999 38950029 39440010 40130017=20


=3D =3D =3D
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