Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1869
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Aug 06 2023 22:24:45

ACUS11 KWNS 062224
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062224=20
SCZ000-GAZ000-070030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1869
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0524 PM CDT Sun Aug 06 2023

Areas affected...Southeast Georgia into far southern South Carolina

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 596...

Valid 062224Z - 070030Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 596
continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging winds will remain possible into the evening hours
as storms approach the Georgia/South Carolina coast; however, this
threat will likely remain fairly limited. Downstream watch issuance
is not expected.

DISCUSSION...Ongoing thunderstorm clusters/lines across central to
eastern Georgia have largely become outflow dominant over the past
few hours. With cell motions to the east - orthogonal to the outflow
propagation vector - new development along these boundaries is
uncertain across central GA. Further east, a more easterly cold-pool
motion is allowing for new cell development within an unstable air
mass (SBCAPE estimates up to 2000-3000 J/kg). Forecast soundings
from this region appear favorable for wet downbursts capable of
damaging winds. The expectation over the next hour is for continued
cell development along/behind the eastward-moving outflow with the
potential for sporadic damaging winds. This activity may persist to
the GA/SC coast, but storm longevity/organization will remain too
limited to pose a more robust threat. Consequently, downstream watch
issuance is not anticipated.

...Moore.. 08/06/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4WBnVIVI__TZbXH1fmhWWGc8CR7__eZl6hiZ0whPK1L-Sb3cOIx5qAjLbtDrO4eyKxCmrqqbB=
TBizNzTb9JBlxrj1zE$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...

LAT...LON   32448275 32688223 33068170 33128126 33028076 32698046
            32358043 31828085 31448105 31378119 31428188 31858254
            32148284 32278285 32448275=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.