Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1854
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Aug 06 2023 00:37:01

ACUS11 KWNS 060036
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060036=20
KSZ000-NEZ000-060200-

Mesoscale Discussion 1854
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0736 PM CDT Sat Aug 05 2023

Areas affected...Northern KS...Southern NE

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 593...

Valid 060036Z - 060200Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 593
continues.

SUMMARY...Strong/severe thunderstorms will spread east across
northern KS/extreme southern NE this evening.

DISCUSSION...Notable short-wave trough is evident in water-vapor
imagery this evening over the central High Plains. This feature
appears partly responsible for upscale growth in convection over
northwest KS/southwest NE over the last few hours. Multiple
thunderstorm clusters are beginning to organize north of I70, and it
appears a sufficient cold pool may evolve such that a complex of
storms could spread across the remainder of ww593 into north-central
KS. Latest OA fields suggest a corridor of 2000+ J/kg MLCAPE extends
across northern KS which supports this scenario. A local extension
may be required immediately downstream to account for this threat.

...Darrow.. 08/06/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6NeNOWFfIE3ECmYk8kKvN8rfl7kygXKxXApnJd2C_lJ3OOjERJctI7BqWGWYOCuH4mNaHq__j=
6unwJfQ46-iOuAzzzc$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   40260058 40299791 39699708 38959796 38750122 39570176
            40260058=20


=3D =3D =3D
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