Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1851
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Aug 05 2023 23:09:30

ACUS11 KWNS 052309
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052309=20
TXZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-060045-

Mesoscale Discussion 1851
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0609 PM CDT Sat Aug 05 2023

Areas affected...Central High Plains

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 588...

Valid 052309Z - 060045Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 588
continues.

SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms will spread across
eastern/southern portions of ww588 this evening.

DISCUSSION...Several clusters of deep convection have developed
immediately ahead of central Plains short-wave trough. One
thunderstorm cluster, northwest/north of LHX, is propagating
southeast along the primary instability axis where MLCAPE is on the
order of 2000 J/kg. As the short wave shifts east, northwesterly
flow will deepen as LLJ begins to strengthen just downstream across
the TX/OK Panhandle region. Current thinking is continued maturation
of this activity will be noted over the next few hours with
additional convection expected to increase in areal coverage over
the southern portions of ww588. With time an MCS should materialize
as it propagates toward the OK Panhandle.

...Darrow.. 08/05/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8Y6nJPRkHEuRCwx_810Dcfj4Df0ZPUac413yuddTRhDiAdPx26Y_BNQ6hGtG5tLbdVSZI_H6U=
QepS6Fr2izsvPeNqBk$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

LAT...LON   35810418 40320455 40320227 35820206 35810418=20


=3D =3D =3D
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