Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Fri Aug 04 2023 01:02:15 ACUS01 KWNS 040102 SWODY1 SPC AC 040100 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Thu Aug 03 2023 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ....THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST CO INTO NORTHWEST/NORTH-CENTRAL KS AND SOUTHWEST NE... ....SUMMARY... Storms capable of producing severe wind gusts remain possible this evening into late tonight across parts of the central High Plains. ....Central Plains... Clusters of strong to occasionally severe storms are ongoing this evening across parts of the central High Plains, with measured severe gusts noted earlier near/east of Pueblo and Colorado Springs. The potential remains for notable upscale growth later this evening into parts of western KS and southwest NE, as ongoing convection moves into an increasingly moist and unstable environment. Should this occur, the potential for severe gusts will spread eastward later tonight, with the threat possibly reaching north-central/northeast KS before the end of the period. ....Parts of NY/VT... Storms are gradually increasing in coverage this evening across parts of central/northern NY, in response to a midlevel shortwave trough moving across southern Quebec. Storms have thus far struggled to remain organized, but weak to moderate instability and marginally favorable deep-layer shear will support a threat for isolated hail and damaging wind tonight, with multiple rounds of convection possible. ....Southeast MO into western TN and northern MS/AL... Another round of storms may erupt late tonight across parts of southeast MO, as a modestly increasing low-level jet impinges upon a reservoir of strong buoyancy. Storms will likely tend to remain somewhat elevated, but at least isolated hail and damaging gusts will be possible as one or more clusters move southeastward overnight into parts of western TN and potentially northern MS/AL. ...Dean.. 08/04/2023 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .