Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1817
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Aug 03 2023 02:37:06

ACUS11 KWNS 030237
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030236=20
COZ000-030400-

Mesoscale Discussion 1817
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0936 PM CDT Wed Aug 02 2023

Areas affected...portions of the Front Range from Denver to Colorado
Springs

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 030236Z - 030400Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...There will be some threat for damaging wind gusts for the
next 1 to 2 hours.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms which formed over the mountains has
had severe wind gusts at Fort Carson and Colorado Springs in the
last hour. These storms are currently receiving some boost from
strengthening and deepening upslope flow (per FTG VWP). Current
radar shows this storm activity is outflow dominant, and expect this
trend to mostly continue given the relatively weak shear in the
region. However, there will be a brief window in the next 60 to 90
minutes for a continued threat of damaging wind gusts. This will
result from ongoing storm collapse and from outflow boundary
interaction between the ongoing storms and a southwestward moving
outflow boundary from earlier convection in northeast Colorado.
Better low-level moisture and greater instability exists across far
eastern Colorado, but increasing inhibition should limit the threat
of this storm cluster persisting into eastern Colorado.

...Bentley/Mosier.. 08/03/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6HRsexVezzVx9aHOFlidlpokWOc2BlKFQe6E_qREggSXPPcWYBp2OgMXN66tvrSnftOMVcFpd=
TQ1y3_NvSnDEsdBblM$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON   38450453 38790484 39300510 39520526 39770522 40060485
            40050405 39270351 38560310 38180331 38100386 38110429
            38450453=20


=3D =3D =3D
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