Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1795
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jul 31 2023 03:28:38

ACUS11 KWNS 310328
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 310328=20
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-310530-

Mesoscale Discussion 1795
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1028 PM CDT Sun Jul 30 2023

Areas affected...primarily southwest Missouri into northwest
Arkansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 575...

Valid 310328Z - 310530Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 575
continues.

SUMMARY...A severe MCS continues to move south/southeast across
southwest Missouri and far southeast Kansas, with severe winds
measured. An additional watch will be considered downstream into
northwest Arkansas should current trends persist.

DISCUSSION...A small but impressive MCS continues to produce severe
gusts across much of the length of the line, with the most intense
portions generally west of the longitude of Springfield MO thus far.
Objective analysis shows some decrease in instability in that area
and extending to the east. However, a plume of higher PWAT does
exist per 00Z LZK sounding and GPS water vapor sensors with values
of 1.80-2.00" vs the 1.60" in the 00Z SGF sounding. Therefore, given
the organization of this MCS, it is possible that the severe risk
persists at least within a narrow corridor extending south/southeast
into parts of AR.

...Jewell.. 07/31/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6i0BkTshGwlPWi8LzDmzfN2cX-0BZGR8fI3oE3npPAOqfeurRKotGMIXATwBLlW8IIm6ScG0S=
x0z3eUwF5MFHl8yJI8$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT...

LAT...LON   35299436 37489533 37599524 37419456 37579413 37639384
            37409358 37139327 36779284 36369250 35789234 35459261
            35259311 35229381 35299436=20


=3D =3D =3D
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