Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1774 To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Sat Jul 29 2023 19:19:30 ACUS11 KWNS 291919 SWOMCD SPC MCD 291918=20 KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-292115- Mesoscale Discussion 1774 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sat Jul 29 2023 Areas affected...central Missouri into southern Illinois and westerm Kentucky Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 567... Valid 291918Z - 292115Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 567 continues. SUMMARY...Risk for damaging winds continues across the WW area, and will likely expand east/southeast of the watch later this afternoon. This may require additional/downstream WW issuance. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a still-organized/bowing band of severe storms moving across parts of northern and central Missouri at this time. The convection is moving through a moderately unstable airmass -- where mixed-layer CAPE as high as 3000 J/kg is indicated. A similar airmass extends east into southern Illinois and western Kentucky, which suggests that storms should continue moving east-southeastward, and eventually move out of the current bounds of WW 567. With storms likely to maintain organization, and thus severe risk to continue, a new/downstream WW will likely/eventually need to be considered. ...Goss.. 07/29/2023 ....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_4GpOL-00-VHI_Pl-30xOjJz2aTw9U1Uj8SAATyaOIIdTMXTcH7bWku9FA9XhaO3bmaII0yPQ= kOxDFWa0XEaT66e-eE$ for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF...EAX... LAT...LON 38249268 38869200 39099182 39979238 39138780 36828652 36548878 38249268=20 =3D =3D =3D To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .