Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1769
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Jul 29 2023 14:51:13

ACUS11 KWNS 291450
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291450=20
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-291645-

Mesoscale Discussion 1769
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0950 AM CDT Sat Jul 29 2023

Areas affected...southeastern Nebraska...northeastern
Kansas...southwestern Iowa...and northwestern Missouri

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 566...

Valid 291450Z - 291645Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 566
continues.

SUMMARY...An organized/bowing band of storms continues moving
east-southeastward across the Mid-Missouri Valley area, through WW
566.  Damaging winds remain the primary severe threat with this
convection.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows an organized/bowing cluster of
storms crossing far southeastern Nebraska at this time, and
beginning to impinge on adjacent portions of northeastern Kansas,
far southwestern Iowa, and northwestern Missouri.  Downstream, a
corridor of moderate instability persists, along a west-northwest to
east-southeast surface baroclinic zone.=20=20

It appears that convection should continue, along with local risk
for damaging winds, over the next couple of hours, despite contrary
CAM guidance.  Primary risk should gradually become focused
primarily across northwestern Missouri, north of the Kansas City
metro area.

...Goss.. 07/29/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4Bfy1kHyynXiACVYn57LIf37tVyWsoG54bXEhGwycYMA-yqGXmWS4r6P0l4eVIzoh6POPKPW3=
6kcNBV4V_sTZhVEAmo$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...

LAT...LON   40589676 40779646 40909584 40499380 39259373 39209407
            39409497 39799600 40319581 40589676=20


=3D =3D =3D
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