Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1729
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jul 26 2023 20:38:32

ACUS11 KWNS 262038
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262037=20
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-262230-

Mesoscale Discussion 1729
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0337 PM CDT Wed Jul 26 2023

Areas affected...northeastern Colorado...far southeastern
Wyoming...far southwestern Nebraska...northwestern Kansas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 262037Z - 262230Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...Severe potential increasing into the afternoon/evening.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity has been ongoing across the Front
Range and areas just west and south of the Denver Metro. Dew points
within this region are generally in the mid 40s to 50s. High-based
convection is expected to gradually shift into the plains through
the evening, where a more moist and unstable air mass is available.
This may lead to a more organized severe threat later for
northeastern Colorado/far southeastern Wyoming persisting into
southwestern Nebraska and northwestern Kansas later this evening.
The main threats would be damaging winds, given "inverted V"
thermodynamic profiles. Hodographs are generally straight with deep
layer shear around 40 kts which may support a few isolated instances
of large hail early on. Trends will be monitored for potential watch
issuance over the next few hours.

...Thornton/Hart.. 07/26/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-bTUhvGiSupAV0jHFBXcs2I1ukuactJmIN7W4XIRcmjzb1r-cStO4A7UUBBvDucX_xWqmGDZy=
rDf7Y-A49iQonnycTs$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON   39530518 40060541 40500555 40700557 40990554 41170528
            41290472 41330402 41340345 41310280 41250216 41110177
            40910133 40600097 40120067 39790057 39460060 39420062
            38960088 38700117 38670145 38620178 38600312 38540348
            38520383 38530407 38630430 38800463 38960485 39530518=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.