Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1713 To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Wed Jul 26 2023 02:48:55 ACUS11 KWNS 260248 SWOMCD SPC MCD 260248=20 INZ000-ILZ000-260415- Mesoscale Discussion 1713 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0948 PM CDT Tue Jul 25 2023 Areas affected...portions of central and eastern Illinois Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20 Valid 260248Z - 260415Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...A couple instances of severe hail may accompany the stronger storms this evening. The severe threat should remain isolated and a WW issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...Multiple (likely elevated multicell) storms have developed along the nose of a strong 850 mb WAA regime, with MRMS mosaic radar imagery showing 30 dBZ echo tops reaching 60 kft and MESH exceeding 1 inch in diameter. Given the continued low-level WAA this evening, these storms may continue to support an isolated hail risk through the evening. Since the severe threat should remain sparse, a Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance is not expected. ...Squitieri.. 07/26/2023 ....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8_an3WS0gE-Lb5HiVSXx-bKtYxP8cJm_CErAChO3eGjxU2GLA3vzYYjKY3IJUDb7Q7HHozW1e= 32PbW7_nxKaR9-hS6Y$ for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...IND...LOT...ILX...LSX... LAT...LON 39248929 39958900 40398871 40538824 40378762 40028740 39508739 39148757 39098795 39058876 39248929=20 =3D =3D =3D To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .