Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1682
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Jul 22 2023 22:54:27

ACUS11 KWNS 222254
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222253=20
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-230030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1682
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0553 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 2023

Areas affected...Southern Nebraska...northern KS

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 541...

Valid 222253Z - 230030Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 541
continues.

SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue across the
watch area with a risk for damaging gusts and large/isolated very
large hail.

DISCUSSION...Severe thunderstorms, which earlier initiated in the
vicinity of a northeast-southwest surface trough, continue moving
south/southeast across southern NE/northern KS at 2250z. These
storms have a history of large/isolated very large hail up to 2.50
inches in diameter and damaging gusts.  In the short term, storms
are expected to continue to pose a severe threat within a moderately
unstable air mass and 35-40 kts of northwesterly shear. This should
support a continuation of supercell storm structures through early
evening posing a risk for damaging gusts and large/isolated very
large hail.

Farther southwest across western KS/eastern CO, severe thunderstorm
coverage remains rather isolated, but a continued severe risk is
expected for a few more hours as instability/shear profiles remain
similar to farther east.

...Bunting.. 07/22/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5XayCGwtKTd0_IznCBR6vTgdodkKE8NiwmnLuIzSzbQp3iyFlklZsupiosOzLo4UBRUK1SNm0=
cVJwC38NxHDFSDfiUI$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...

LAT...LON   38609642 38649821 38729988 37990159 38590219 39060239
            40190189 41210192 41420014 41489960 40809851 40399740
            39379659 38609642=20


=3D =3D =3D
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