Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1654
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Jul 20 2023 23:50:17

ACUS11 KWNS 202350
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 202349=20
KSZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-210145-

Mesoscale Discussion 1654
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0649 PM CDT Thu Jul 20 2023

Areas affected...Southeast Colorado...far southwest
Kansas...Oklahoma Panhandle...far northern Texas Panhandle

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 526...527...

Valid 202349Z - 210145Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 526, 527
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe gusts, some significant, will become more likely
into the early evening as upscale growth continues in southeast
Colorado.

DISCUSSION...Three supercells northeast of Pueblo are in the process
of interacting/merging with convection that has moved northeastward
off the Sangre de Cristo Mountains. This activity is expected to
move into the surface theta-e axes in southeast Colorado into parts
of the combined Panhandles. This corridor will be favored for severe
wind gusts over the next few hours. Some of these wind gusts could
exceed 75 mph. A surface boundary plus outflow from earlier intense
convection in southwest Kansas should be an approximate northern
delimiter of the greater gust threat.

...Wendt.. 07/20/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9rYjmMZ7zerImVm6DaITdzpVzhujB5dX2oc87fpf68uyzgYknDcaTTqkLvaB-GwQvXiTWmggW=
CeE5fepzIyOPCXWys4$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...PUB...

LAT...LON   37350344 37820372 38350345 38500323 38520277 38210205
            38030143 37770057 37560022 37180005 36760019 36560043
            36500073 36650163 36880252 37350344=20


=3D =3D =3D
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