Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1607
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jul 18 2023 01:16:20

ACUS11 KWNS 180116
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 180115=20
WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-180245-

Mesoscale Discussion 1607
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0815 PM CDT Mon Jul 17 2023

Areas affected...Southern OH into eastern KY and western WV

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 180115Z - 180245Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Some damaging-wind threat may spread southeastward into
late evening. Watch issuance is possible.

DISCUSSION...A line of storms moving through southwest OH continues
to show some signs of organization, though measured gusts have
largely been in the 40-50 mph range thus far. Moderate downstream
buoyancy and sufficient deep-layer shear may continue to support
organized convection into the late evening, accompanied by a threat
for at least isolated damaging wind. The magnitude of the threat may
gradually diminish with time, but downstream watch issuance is
possible depending on short-term convective trends.

...Dean/Edwards.. 07/18/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-ODo7jpU2k7pSvleRj9_STOgvePRbMTet4QZVyp1coq_jeoH_HBHJWJDRGKtAMaQ9jjwypIXY=
RxcNr87ozgmzSMNhDw$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

LAT...LON   37668243 38038367 38308403 39008340 39428300 38788157
            38218143 37748236 37668243=20


=3D =3D =3D
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