Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1585
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Jul 16 2023 23:30:08

ACUS11 KWNS 162330
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162329=20
OKZ000-KSZ000-170100-

Mesoscale Discussion 1585
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0629 PM CDT Sun Jul 16 2023

Areas affected...South-central Kansas into northern Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500...

Valid 162329Z - 170100Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500
continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for large to very large hail will move towards
Pratt, KS and eventually into parts of northern Oklahoma. Severe,
damaging wind gusts are also possible. A new severe thunderstorm
watch is possible for parts of northern Oklahoma.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of 2-3 supercells continue on their southward
track through Great Bend and towards Pratt. Several 1.75 inch hail
reports and one 2.5 inch hail report have been received from Great
Bend. Additional, widespread wind damage has also been reported in
Great Bend. Given it current track, some counties along the
Kansas/Oklahoma border will likely need to be included in WW 500.
This will be coordinated with WFOs DDC and ICT. A new downstream
severe thunderstorm watch is also possible for parts of
north-central/northwestern Oklahoma, as this cluster is expected to
be maintained and move along a confluence axis where moisture has
not mixed out this afternoon.

...Wendt.. 07/16/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7wzI-ihjD8srqtfDM42Llck6WX-ECSdm04TJBeiwzdSVMuuEOXErORtG37gHWK3mTAm4eghnm=
H70LmBq_LYjSgJoAgo$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...

LAT...LON   38039917 38109842 37939801 37299757 36559733 35699729
            35689782 35659846 35989886 36599921 37439937 38039917=20


=3D =3D =3D
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